Improved Mileage Blog

It looks like the news the last few years has beaten the dead horse of this real estate crunch, and the conditions in the Boise Idaho real estate market is no different. With the latest numbers indicating that there is no real improvement in sight, homeowners in the area are starting to wonder when and if it will happen. The situation has demanded some very fast action from authorities, and they have done what they can with the markets reacting accordingly.

The most active strata in the Boise Idaho real estate market is the entry level home market. Sales usually slow down for winter, so once that is factored in; home sales have clipped right along. The introduction of the federal governments first time home buyer tax credit lifted the market and set appreciation standards no seen in a few years. These tax breaks aimed at increasing home buyers rates of purchase were responsible for the latest rate of appreciation throughout the nation.

The next strata of home prices is the tier 2 homes which are between about two hundred and four hundred thousand dollars, and they do seem to be selling at very slow rates right now. With financing getting easier to get due to the return of appreciation and consequently primary mortgage insurance, numbers should pick up soon. New homes construction is very sluggish within this area of the market with home buyers aiming at purchasing energy efficient floor plans that are smaller in size right now.

The Boise real estate luxury home market is the slowest due to the fact that jumbo loans have started to be reported as defaulting in higher numbers in recent weeks. With higher default rates reporting, PMI for jumbo loans will go up substantially, and this will prohibit many buyers from doing so at this time.

Many home buyers are going after the homes with acreages so that is causing a small surge in the Boise Idaho real estate land market, including acreages, development and building lots. With lot sales being nearly completely tied to new home construction, as one goes so go the other. The rate of sales of real estate developments has been markedly slow because real estate developers simply cannot get financing to complete their projects.

Just like every prior year, the Boise housing market slows dramatically during the colder times of the year, but more buyers are busy this year trying to get a home under contract before the April deadline for the tax incentives. The most dangerous influence in the market is an increase of mortgage rates, which may dampen real estate sales and prolong the recovery that all of us are eagerly waiting.

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The U.S. economy grew faster than initially thought in the fourth quarter as businesses drew down inventories at a much slower pace and boosted investment, a government report showed on Friday. As goes the nation, so goes the Boise real estate market, so this news is good to local industry insiders.

In its second reading of fourth-quarter gross domestic product, the Commerce Department said the economy grew at a 5.9% annual rate, rather than the 5.7% pace it estimated last month. It was still the fastest pace since the third quarter of 2003. Posting an impressive 2.2% increase, the third quarter led all to date. If we go back to the 2003 number the Boise real estate market would be on solid footing.

Analysts polled by Reuters had forecast GDP, which measures total goods and services output within U.S. borders, growing at a 5.7% rate in the October-December period. While the economy rebounded strongly in the second half of 2009 from the worst downturn since the 1930s, data so far suggests the rapid rate of acceleration slowed somewhat in the first quarter of 2010. Even thought consumer spending and the housing markets were down, the fact that businesses increased investment in software and equipment helped add some steadiness to the economy and allowed business to liquidate bloated inventories. Being part of the fabric of the national economy, Boise real estate definitely had similar results.

Demand remains low as indicated by the reduction in actual growth of 1.9% from the projected growth of 2.2%, which reduced inventories and brought some balance back. With inventory figures nearly halved, from $33.5 billion to $16.9 billion, the fourth quarter tailed off considerably. They dropped $139.2 billion in the July-September period. The change in inventories alone added 3.88 percentage points to GDP in the last quarter. Such a dramatic increase has not been seen since the final quarter of 1987. As home materials companies liquidated inventory, Boise real estate reaped some benefit from that.

In fact, since 1946 there not been such a dramatic shrinkage in the economy as the 2.4% drop recently. Even consumer spending projections had to be adjusted downward from 2% in January to the actual number of 1.7% increase. Although offset soon afterward, the “cash for clunkers” program drove GDP, by stimulating consumption, up by a respectable 2.8%. The disappointing news came from the consumer spending sector which added only a 1.23% GDP gain, which is low considering it is normally about 70% of GDP. The Boise real estate market has shared in the impact of the national financial crisis.

With spending on commercial real estate heading down quickly, the fact that the growth happened at all was due mostly because of equipment purchases and investment in software necessary for business growth and improvement. With business investment being much higher than the projected 2.9%, at 6.5% actually, improvement is on the way. In just the three months prior, it had slumped by just under 6%. With everyone watching the housing markets, projections of 5.7% were down graded to about 5% in the fourth quarter. In the third quarter it had posted a tremendous 18.9%. Both exports and imports grew much stronger than initially estimated in the fourth quarter, leaving a trade gap that contributed 0.3 percentage point to GDP growth, the data showed. As GDP indicates our national economic states, Boise real estate eagerly awaits is significant turn around.

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